Šumperk vs Valašské Meziříčí analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.6%
Win probability
2.03
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
8.9%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.9%
1-0
6.7%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
4.4%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.7%
21.4%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
21.4%
26%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
14.7%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
7.3%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-12%
+12%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
18
6º
14º
8º
22
5º
12º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
2º
|
34 | 63 |
1º
|
42.5% | |
|
1º
|
35 | 62 |
2º
|
25.5% | |
|
3º
|
30 | 57 |
3º
|
30% | |
|
5º
|
26 | 56 |
4º
|
27% | |
|
4º
|
28 | 52 |
5º
|
41% | |
|
|
6º
|
22 | 43 |
6º
|
36.5% | |
|
9º
|
17 | 38 |
7º
|
25.5% | |
|
|
8º
|
18 | 38 |
8º
|
21% | |
|
7º
|
19 | 36 |
9º
|
21% | |
|
10º
|
17 | 31 |
10º
|
21% | |
|
11º
|
16 | 28 |
11º
|
17% | |
|
12º
|
11 | 25 |
12º
|
16.5% | |
|
14º
|
10 | 25 |
13º
|
13% | |
|
15º
|
9 | 24 |
14º
|
20.5% | |
|
13º
|
10 | 19 |
15º
|
42.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
99.5% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0.5% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Šumperk
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Nov. 2024 |
HRA
5 - 1
SUM
70%
17%
13%
|
37 | 45 | 8 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2024 |
SUM
1 - 0
STE
66%
18%
16%
|
36 | 28 | 8 | +1 |
| 23 Oct. 2024 |
SUM
4 - 2
HOL
41%
23%
36%
|
34 | 37 | 3 | +2 |
| 19 Oct. 2024 |
HFK
2 - 1
SUM
19%
22%
60%
|
35 | 24 | 11 | -1 |
| 13 Oct. 2024 |
SUM
2 - 0
SLA
57%
20%
23%
|
34 | 29 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Valašské Meziříčí
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Nov. 2024 |
VAL
4 - 2
HOL
40%
22%
38%
|
30 | 36 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2024 |
HRA
3 - 0
VAL
76%
15%
9%
|
32 | 44 | 12 | -2 |
| 19 Oct. 2024 |
VAL
2 - 0
TJS
52%
21%
27%
|
30 | 30 | 0 | +2 |
| 12 Oct. 2024 |
STE
0 - 2
VAL
48%
21%
31%
|
28 | 30 | 2 | +2 |
| 09 Oct. 2024 |
SLA
2 - 1
VAL
45%
22%
33%
|
29 | 28 | 1 | -1 |