4. Liga Division E round 15

Šumperk vs Valašské Meziříčí analysis

Šumperk Valašské Meziříčí
33 ELO 33
-0.6% Tilt -4.3%
8495º General ELO ranking 9753º
136º Country ELO ranking 167º
ELO win probability
52.6%
Šumperk
21.4%
Draw
26%
Valašské Meziříčí

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.6%
Win probability
Šumperk
2.03
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
8.9%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.9%
1-0
6.7%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
4.4%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.7%
21.4%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
21.4%
26%
Win probability
Valašské Meziříčí
1.38
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
14.7%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
7.3%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Šumperk
-16%
+9%
Valašské Meziříčí

Points and table prediction

Šumperk
Their league position
Valašské Meziříčí
CURR.POS.
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
18
14º
22
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
Expected position in the table
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Hranice
34
63
42.5%
FC Vsetín
35
62
25.5%
Kozlovice
30
57
30%
Bzenec
26
56
27%
Tatran Všechovice
28
52
41%
Valašské Meziříčí
22
43
36.5%
Holešov
17
38
25.5%
Šumperk
18
38
21%
Slavičín
19
36
21%
Skaštice
10º
17
31
10º
21%
1. HFK Olomouc
11º
16
28
11º
17%
Šternberk
12º
11
25
12º
16.5%
Baťov
14º
10
25
13º
13%
Nové Sady
15º
9
24
14º
20.5%
Kvasice
13º
10
19
15º
42.5%
Expected probabilities
Šumperk
Valašské Meziříčí
Promotion
0% 0%
Mid-table
99.5% 100%
Relegation
0.5% 0%

ELO progression

Šumperk
Valašské Meziříčí
Baťov
FC Vsetín
Tatran Všechovice
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Šumperk
Šumperk
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
02 Nov. 2024
HRA
Hranice
5 - 1
Šumperk
SUM
70%
17%
13%
35 43 8 0
27 Oct. 2024
SUM
Šumperk
1 - 0
Šternberk
STE
66%
18%
16%
35 26 9 0
23 Oct. 2024
SUM
Šumperk
4 - 2
Holešov
HOL
41%
23%
36%
33 35 2 +2
19 Oct. 2024
HFK
1. HFK Olomouc
2 - 1
Šumperk
SUM
19%
22%
60%
34 22 12 -1
13 Oct. 2024
SUM
Šumperk
2 - 0
Slavičín
SLA
57%
20%
23%
33 28 5 +1

Matches

Valašské Meziříčí
Valašské Meziříčí
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
02 Nov. 2024
VAL
Valašské Meziříčí
4 - 2
Holešov
HOL
40%
22%
38%
29 34 5 0
25 Oct. 2024
HRA
Hranice
3 - 0
Valašské Meziříčí
VAL
76%
15%
9%
30 43 13 -1
19 Oct. 2024
VAL
Valašské Meziříčí
2 - 0
Skaštice
TJS
52%
21%
27%
28 28 0 +2
12 Oct. 2024
STE
Šternberk
0 - 2
Valašské Meziříčí
VAL
48%
21%
31%
27 29 2 +1
09 Oct. 2024
SLA
Slavičín
2 - 1
Valašské Meziříčí
VAL
45%
22%
33%
27 27 0 0