South Africa U23 vs Mexico U23 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
16.7%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1%
2-0
2.4%
3-1
1.3%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4%
1-0
5.4%
2-1
4.5%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
11.4%
21.7%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.7%
61.5%
Win probability
1.91
Expected goals
0-1
11.8%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.8%
0-2
11.2%
1-3
6.3%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
19%
0-3
7.1%
1-4
3%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
10.7%
0-4
3.4%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.7%
0-5
1.3%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
1.7%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
+11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
South Africa U23
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jul. 2021 |
FRA
4 - 3
RSA
61%
22%
18%
|
53 | 61 | 8 | 0 |
| 22 Jul. 2021 |
JPN
1 - 0
RSA
70%
18%
12%
|
54 | 68 | 14 | -1 |
| 11 Oct. 2019 |
EGY
1 - 1
RSA
46%
23%
32%
|
54 | 58 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2016 |
RSA
1 - 1
IRQ
23%
24%
53%
|
53 | 64 | 11 | +1 |
| 08 Aug. 2016 |
DEN
1 - 0
RSA
60%
22%
18%
|
53 | 61 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Mexico U23
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jul. 2021 |
JPN
2 - 1
MEX
39%
25%
36%
|
71 | 68 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Jul. 2021 |
MEX
4 - 1
FRA
58%
22%
20%
|
71 | 62 | 9 | 0 |
| 12 Jun. 2021 |
AUS
2 - 3
MEX
11%
15%
74%
|
70 | 54 | 16 | +1 |
| 08 Jun. 2021 |
KSA
1 - 1
MEX
11%
16%
73%
|
71 | 54 | 17 | -1 |
| 05 Jun. 2021 |
MEX
1 - 0
ROU
61%
20%
19%
|
70 | 58 | 12 | +1 |