Sud FC vs Aigues Mortes analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
13.6%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.8%
2-0
1.8%
3-1
1.1%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.2%
1-0
4%
2-1
3.9%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
9.4%
18.8%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.8%
67.7%
Win probability
2.2
Expected goals
0-1
10.2%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
23.6%
0-2
11.2%
1-3
7.2%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
20.3%
0-3
8.2%
1-4
4%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
-3
13%
0-4
4.5%
1-5
1.7%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
6.6%
0-5
2%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.7%
0-6
0.7%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
1%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+475%
-15%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
6
12º
14º
14º
6
6º
13º
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
13º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
8º
|
9 | 49 |
1º
|
25% | |
|
1º
|
18 | 49 |
2º
|
19.5% | |
|
2º
|
15 | 48 |
3º
|
21.5% | |
|
6º
|
11 | 44 |
4º
|
12% | |
|
3º
|
14 | 41 |
5º
|
17% | |
|
9º
|
9 | 40 |
6º
|
13.5% | |
|
5º
|
11 | 39 |
7º
|
13% | |
|
7º
|
10 | 38 |
8º
|
12.5% | |
|
4º
|
12 | 36 |
9º
|
14% | |
|
12º
|
6 | 31 |
10º
|
14.5% | |
|
10º
|
9 | 28 |
11º
|
13.5% | |
|
|
13º
|
6 | 27 |
12º
|
21% | |
|
11º
|
6 | 21 |
13º
|
36% | |
|
|
14º
|
6 | 15 |
14º
|
63% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
0.5% | 22.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0.5% | 16% |
|
Relegation
|
99% | 61% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sud FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Sep. 2024 |
SFC
2 - 3
MON
11%
17%
72%
|
6 | 37 | 31 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
MAR
4 - 0
SFC
85%
10%
5%
|
6 | 37 | 31 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
SFC
1 - 2
ESF
11%
17%
72%
|
7 | 26 | 19 | -1 |
Matches
Aigues Mortes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Sep. 2024 |
SAM
2 - 2
LUC
37%
23%
41%
|
32 | 37 | 5 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
MON
0 - 1
SAM
65%
18%
17%
|
31 | 38 | 7 | +1 |
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
SAM
2 - 2
COR
52%
21%
27%
|
31 | 28 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Jun. 2023 |
SAM
3 - 0
FCA
44%
22%
33%
|
28 | 30 | 2 | +3 |
| 27 May. 2023 |
TOU
1 - 1
SAM
72%
16%
11%
|
28 | 40 | 12 | 0 |