Stuttgart vs B. Dortmund analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
13.8%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
0.9%
2-0
1.7%
3-1
1.3%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
3.4%
1-0
3.5%
2-1
4%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
9.3%
17.9%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
17.9%
68.3%
Win probability
2.36
Expected goals
0-1
8.5%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
3.7%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.6%
0-2
10%
1-3
7.6%
2-4
2.2%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
20.1%
0-3
7.9%
1-4
4.5%
2-5
1%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
13.5%
0-4
4.6%
1-5
2.1%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0%
-4
7.2%
0-5
2.2%
1-6
0.8%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
3.2%
0-6
0.9%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0%
-6
1.2%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.4%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Stuttgart
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Dec. 2023 |
STU
2 - 0
BRE
56%
21%
23%
|
85 | 80 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2023 |
EIN
1 - 2
STU
48%
24%
27%
|
85 | 88 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2023 |
STU
2 - 0
FCN
71%
17%
12%
|
85 | 72 | 13 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2023 |
STU
2 - 1
BVB
17%
19%
64%
|
84 | 92 | 8 | +1 |
| 05 Nov. 2023 |
HEI
2 - 0
STU
28%
23%
49%
|
85 | 77 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
B. Dortmund
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Dec. 2023 |
LEV
1 - 1
BVB
34%
23%
43%
|
93 | 91 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 2023 |
ACM
1 - 3
BVB
43%
23%
33%
|
92 | 94 | 2 | +1 |
| 25 Nov. 2023 |
BVB
4 - 2
MON
64%
19%
17%
|
92 | 86 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2023 |
STU
2 - 1
BVB
17%
19%
64%
|
92 | 84 | 8 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2023 |
BVB
2 - 0
NEW
35%
24%
40%
|
92 | 94 | 2 | 0 |