Sturm Graz vs Wolfsberger AC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.5%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.2%
2-0
7%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.3%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.6%
25.7%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.7%
32.8%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
0-1
8.5%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.8%
0-2
5.3%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.3%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+16%
+9%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
46
1º
2º
2º
30
4º
8º
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
8º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
50 | 50 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
46 | 46 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
35 | 35 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
34 | 34 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
34 | 34 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
33 | 33 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
33 | 33 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
|
8º
|
30 | 30 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
19 | 19 |
9º
|
0% | |
|
10º
|
19 | 19 |
10º
|
0% | |
|
11º
|
14 | 14 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
10 | 10 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sturm Graz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Feb. 2024 |
WAT
0 - 2
STR
33%
25%
42%
|
80 | 74 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2024 |
SBR
0 - 1
STR
38%
24%
38%
|
80 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2024 |
STR
1 - 1
RAP
39%
25%
36%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2024 |
STR
4 - 1
SBR
46%
24%
30%
|
80 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2024 |
RBS
1 - 1
STR
41%
25%
34%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Wolfsberger AC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Feb. 2024 |
LAS
0 - 1
WOL
45%
25%
31%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2024 |
WOL
4 - 1
WAT
51%
24%
26%
|
80 | 75 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2024 |
WOL
0 - 2
RAP
40%
25%
36%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2024 |
OLI
0 - 1
WOL
38%
25%
37%
|
80 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2024 |
WOL
3 - 1
MET
68%
20%
12%
|
80 | 66 | 14 | 0 |