Sturm Graz vs Austria Klagenfurt analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.6%
Win probability
1.88
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.8%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.7%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.2%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.5%
22.9%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
6%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
14.1%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.1%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+14%
-3%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
48
2º
6º
2º
30
4º
12º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
55 | 55 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
48 | 48 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
38 | 38 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
32 | 35 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
33 | 33 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
|
6º
|
30 | 30 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
28 | 28 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
27 | 27 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
21 | 21 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
18 | 18 |
10º
|
0% | |
|
10º
|
18 | 18 |
11º
|
0% | |
|
12º
|
17 | 17 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sturm Graz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Feb. 2023 |
HAR
1 - 2
STR
26%
25%
49%
|
80 | 73 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2023 |
STR
1 - 0
RAP
42%
25%
34%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2023 |
DLB
1 - 3
STR
6%
14%
80%
|
80 | 43 | 37 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2023 |
RBS
1 - 1
STR
47%
24%
30%
|
80 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2023 |
STR
3 - 4
WEI
88%
9%
3%
|
80 | 27 | 53 | 0 |
Matches
Austria Klagenfurt
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Feb. 2023 |
SKA
1 - 2
TRE
94%
5%
1%
|
74 | 30 | 44 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2023 |
SKA
0 - 3
WOL
36%
23%
40%
|
74 | 79 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2023 |
AUS
3 - 1
SKA
49%
23%
28%
|
75 | 78 | 3 | -1 |
| 05 Feb. 2023 |
LAS
1 - 0
SKA
58%
21%
22%
|
75 | 80 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2023 |
KLA
1 - 2
SKA
2%
7%
91%
|
75 | 25 | 50 | 0 |