Sturm Graz vs Real Sociedad analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
23.3%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.7%
2-0
3.7%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
6%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
5.8%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.1%
25.2%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
12%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.2%
51.6%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
0-1
12.3%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.5%
0-2
9.7%
1-3
5%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
15.8%
0-3
5.1%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
7.4%
0-4
2%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.7%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sturm Graz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Oct. 2021 |
STR
1 - 0
RIE
59%
22%
19%
|
81 | 73 | 8 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2021 |
HAR
3 - 2
STR
30%
25%
45%
|
81 | 75 | 6 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2021 |
STR
1 - 4
PSV
18%
21%
61%
|
82 | 88 | 6 | -1 |
| 26 Sep. 2021 |
RAP
0 - 3
STR
45%
25%
30%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | +1 |
| 22 Sep. 2021 |
HOH
0 - 4
STR
7%
16%
78%
|
81 | 41 | 40 | 0 |
Matches
Real Sociedad
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Oct. 2021 |
RSO
1 - 0
MLL
72%
18%
10%
|
89 | 80 | 9 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2021 |
GET
1 - 1
RSO
18%
25%
56%
|
89 | 84 | 5 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2021 |
RSO
1 - 1
MON
67%
19%
14%
|
89 | 83 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2021 |
RSO
1 - 0
ELC
74%
17%
9%
|
89 | 77 | 12 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2021 |
GRA
2 - 3
RSO
26%
26%
49%
|
89 | 84 | 5 | 0 |