Europa League 1/32
Global 2-2
Sturm Graz vs CSKA Moskva analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43%
Win probability
1.82
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.6%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
6.4%
2-0
5.3%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.9%
1-0
5.8%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.9%
22.4%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
7%
3-3
2.3%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
22.4%
34.6%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
3.8%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
17.7%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
10.2%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4.5%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sturm Graz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Sep. 1981 |
STR
3 - 1
SSW
61%
23%
17%
|
71 | 70 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 1981 |
LIN
4 - 0
STR
52%
26%
23%
|
72 | 71 | 1 | -1 |
| 02 Sep. 1981 |
STR
4 - 0
WNE
85%
10%
5%
|
71 | 50 | 21 | +1 |
| 29 Aug. 1981 |
STR
4 - 1
GRA
56%
23%
21%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 1981 |
3 - 1
STR
55%
24%
21%
|
71 | 67 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
CSKA Moskva
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Nov. 1971 |
SDL
2 - 0
CSK
74%
16%
10%
|
80 | 87 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 1971 |
CSK
1 - 0
SDL
40%
25%
35%
|
79 | 87 | 8 | +1 |
| 29 Sep. 1971 |
CSK
3 - 0
GAL
59%
21%
19%
|
79 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 1971 |
GAL
1 - 1
CSK
51%
24%
25%
|
79 | 78 | 1 | 0 |