Sturm Graz vs Austria Wien analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39.4%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.1%
2-0
5.9%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.7%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.1%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.3%
36.3%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
0-1
7.3%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.2%
0-2
5.4%
1-3
4%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
10.6%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.4%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sturm Graz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jan. 2024 |
STR
0 - 0
RYV
61%
22%
18%
|
80 | 75 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2024 |
SKD
1 - 2
STR
58%
21%
22%
|
80 | 84 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2024 |
STR
1 - 6
POG
51%
24%
24%
|
80 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2024 |
STR
1 - 2
KTE
64%
20%
15%
|
80 | 71 | 9 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2024 |
CRA
1 - 2
STR
35%
25%
41%
|
80 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Austria Wien
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jan. 2024 |
AUS
3 - 0
DAC
54%
23%
23%
|
80 | 76 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2024 |
AUS
3 - 1
FAV
89%
9%
2%
|
80 | 31 | 49 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 2023 |
SKA
2 - 2
AUS
43%
24%
34%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2023 |
AUS
0 - 0
LAS
44%
25%
31%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2023 |
WOL
1 - 0
AUS
41%
25%
35%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |