Sturm Graz II vs Kapfenberger SV analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64.1%
Win probability
2.14
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.3%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.8%
3-0
7.3%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.9%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.4%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.6%
19.8%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
19.8%
16%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
10.7%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+44%
-6%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
34
5º
15º
12º
34
10º
16º
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
12º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
61 | 61 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
60 | 60 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
56 | 56 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
48 | 48 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
45 | 45 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
5º
|
45 | 45 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
43 | 43 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
41 | 41 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
37 | 37 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
36 | 36 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
35 | 35 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
|
13º
|
34 | 34 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
|
12º
|
34 | 34 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
32 | 32 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
30 | 30 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
29 | 29 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sturm Graz II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Oct. 2022 |
DOR
3 - 1
STU
38%
24%
38%
|
54 | 50 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2022 |
STU
3 - 1
AMS
24%
23%
53%
|
53 | 61 | 8 | +1 |
| 09 Oct. 2022 |
STU
0 - 1
VIE
45%
25%
31%
|
53 | 56 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2022 |
GRA
1 - 1
STU
57%
23%
20%
|
53 | 61 | 8 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2022 |
STU
0 - 0
FAC
24%
26%
50%
|
53 | 66 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Kapfenberger SV
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Oct. 2022 |
KAP
2 - 4
FCB
8%
16%
76%
|
45 | 67 | 22 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2022 |
FAC
1 - 1
KAP
72%
19%
9%
|
44 | 67 | 23 | +1 |
| 07 Oct. 2022 |
KAP
0 - 2
RAP
32%
24%
45%
|
46 | 50 | 4 | -2 |
| 30 Sep. 2022 |
VIE
1 - 0
KAP
64%
20%
16%
|
46 | 55 | 9 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2022 |
KAP
2 - 4
AWM
10%
19%
71%
|
46 | 69 | 23 | 0 |