Strasbourg vs Saint-Étienne analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51%
Win probability
1.87
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.4%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.2%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.5%
1-0
8%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.2%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.6%
26.4%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15.3%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
7.4%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Strasbourg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Feb. 1965 |
FCB
2 - 2
STR
89%
8%
4%
|
78 | 88 | 10 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 1965 |
MON
0 - 1
STR
56%
23%
21%
|
78 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 1965 |
STR
3 - 2
LIL
58%
21%
20%
|
77 | 74 | 3 | +1 |
| 20 Jan. 1965 |
STR
0 - 0
FCB
30%
23%
47%
|
77 | 88 | 11 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 1965 |
STR
2 - 0
SED
48%
23%
29%
|
76 | 78 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Saint-Étienne
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Feb. 1965 |
ASS
1 - 3
FCR
60%
21%
19%
|
79 | 75 | 4 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 1965 |
NÎM
1 - 0
ASS
51%
23%
26%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 1965 |
ASS
0 - 0
SFP
61%
21%
18%
|
79 | 74 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 1965 |
LIL
3 - 3
ASS
46%
23%
31%
|
79 | 74 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Jan. 1965 |
ASS
2 - 0
NAN
60%
20%
21%
|
79 | 77 | 2 | 0 |