Stoke City vs Watford analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.5%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.9%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.6%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.8%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.6%
23.9%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.2%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.3%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Stoke City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Sep. 1983 |
IPS
5 - 0
STO
74%
16%
10%
|
79 | 86 | 7 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 1983 |
BIR
1 - 0
STO
54%
25%
21%
|
79 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 1983 |
STO
0 - 1
MUD
32%
27%
41%
|
79 | 88 | 9 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 1983 |
STO
3 - 1
WBA
50%
26%
24%
|
79 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 1983 |
EVE
1 - 0
STO
68%
19%
13%
|
79 | 85 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Watford
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep. 1983 |
KAI
3 - 1
WAT
72%
17%
11%
|
80 | 85 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 1983 |
WAT
3 - 1
NOT
63%
21%
17%
|
80 | 76 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 1983 |
QPR
1 - 1
WAT
52%
24%
24%
|
80 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 1983 |
BIR
2 - 0
WAT
49%
25%
26%
|
80 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 1983 |
WAT
2 - 2
IPS
43%
25%
32%
|
80 | 86 | 6 | 0 |