Stoke City vs Southampton analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40.2%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.5%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.7%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.3%
27.7%
Draw
0-0
9.3%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.7%
32.1%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
10.3%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19.4%
0-2
5.7%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
8.8%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Stoke City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Apr. 1984 |
NTT
0 - 0
STO
69%
19%
12%
|
78 | 87 | 9 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 1984 |
STO
1 - 2
QPR
44%
26%
30%
|
78 | 82 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 1984 |
NOR
2 - 2
STO
64%
21%
15%
|
78 | 82 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 1984 |
STO
2 - 0
LIV
23%
27%
50%
|
77 | 90 | 13 | +1 |
| 07 Apr. 1984 |
ARS
3 - 1
STO
67%
20%
13%
|
77 | 84 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Southampton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Apr. 1984 |
SOU
8 - 2
COV
71%
17%
12%
|
85 | 79 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 1984 |
WAT
1 - 1
SOU
56%
23%
21%
|
85 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 1984 |
SOU
2 - 0
WHU
64%
20%
16%
|
85 | 83 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 1984 |
SOU
3 - 1
EVE
60%
22%
19%
|
85 | 85 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 1984 |
EVE
1 - 0
SOU
53%
27%
20%
|
85 | 85 | 0 | 0 |