Stoke City vs Manchester City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.5%
Win probability
1.81
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.9%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.4%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.7%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.9%
19.6%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.9%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
4.9%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Stoke City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Apr. 1983 |
EVE
3 - 1
STO
64%
21%
15%
|
81 | 84 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 1983 |
STO
1 - 0
NOT
62%
21%
18%
|
81 | 76 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 1983 |
STO
4 - 0
WAT
53%
24%
23%
|
80 | 81 | 1 | +1 |
| 19 Mar. 1983 |
WHU
1 - 1
STO
66%
19%
15%
|
80 | 83 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 1983 |
STO
1 - 0
NTT
46%
26%
28%
|
80 | 84 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Manchester City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Apr. 1983 |
MAC
0 - 4
LIV
24%
26%
50%
|
80 | 91 | 11 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 1983 |
WBA
0 - 2
MAC
61%
22%
18%
|
79 | 84 | 5 | +1 |
| 26 Mar. 1983 |
MAC
0 - 1
IPS
36%
26%
39%
|
79 | 86 | 7 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 1983 |
SOU
4 - 1
MAC
68%
18%
14%
|
80 | 83 | 3 | -1 |
| 12 Mar. 1983 |
SWA
4 - 1
MAC
51%
25%
25%
|
80 | 77 | 3 | 0 |