Stoke City vs Derby County analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.4%
Win probability
1.94
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.6%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
8.2%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.2%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.6%
22%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22%
27.6%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15.5%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
7.8%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Stoke City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Mar. 1937 |
MUD
2 - 1
STO
46%
24%
30%
|
80 | 71 | 9 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 1937 |
PNE
0 - 1
STO
57%
22%
21%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 1937 |
STO
2 - 4
OPA
55%
22%
23%
|
80 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 1937 |
MAC
2 - 1
STO
66%
18%
16%
|
80 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 1937 |
STO
10 - 3
WBA
47%
23%
30%
|
80 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Derby County
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Mar. 1937 |
DER
1 - 1
CHL
69%
17%
15%
|
83 | 79 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 1937 |
OPA
1 - 2
DER
52%
22%
26%
|
82 | 81 | 1 | +1 |
| 24 Feb. 1937 |
DER
0 - 5
MAC
62%
19%
20%
|
83 | 82 | 1 | -1 |
| 13 Feb. 1937 |
DER
3 - 0
BOL
72%
16%
12%
|
83 | 75 | 8 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 1937 |
BRE
6 - 2
DER
59%
20%
21%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | 0 |