Premier League round 3

Stoke City vs Birmingham City analysis

Stoke City Birmingham City
78 ELO 80
-16.7% Tilt -5.1%
767º General ELO ranking 1081º
40º Country ELO ranking 47º
ELO win probability
47.4%
Stoke City
25%
Draw
27.6%
Birmingham City

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.4%
Win probability
Stoke City
1.58
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.4%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.7%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.4%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23%
25%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25%
27.6%
Win probability
Birmingham City
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
7.5%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16.7%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.5%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Stoke City
+2%
+22%
Birmingham City

ELO progression

Stoke City
Birmingham City
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Stoke City
Stoke City
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
27 Aug. 1934
STO
Stoke City
8 - 1
Leeds United
LEE
42%
25%
33%
77 79 2 0
25 Aug. 1934
SHW
Sheffield Wednesday
4 - 1
Stoke City
STO
64%
19%
17%
77 83 6 0
05 May. 1934
SHW
Sheffield Wednesday
2 - 2
Stoke City
STO
64%
19%
17%
77 82 5 0
28 Apr. 1934
STO
Stoke City
2 - 1
Newcastle
NEW
40%
25%
35%
76 79 3 +1
21 Apr. 1934
BBU
Blackburn Rovers
4 - 1
Stoke City
STO
66%
18%
16%
77 79 2 -1

Matches

Birmingham City
Birmingham City
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
29 Aug. 1934
WBA
West Bromwich Albion
1 - 2
Birmingham City
BIR
66%
19%
15%
80 82 2 0
25 Aug. 1934
BIR
Birmingham City
2 - 1
Aston Villa
ASV
41%
24%
34%
79 83 4 +1
05 May. 1934
BIR
Birmingham City
1 - 3
Huddersfield Town
HUR
41%
25%
34%
79 85 6 0
28 Apr. 1934
LEI
Leicester
3 - 7
Birmingham City
BIR
62%
20%
18%
79 79 0 0
21 Apr. 1934
BIR
Birmingham City
2 - 0
Tottenham Hotspur
TOT
47%
24%
28%
78 80 2 +1