Standard de Liège vs KAA Gent analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
24.4%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2%
2-0
3.7%
3-1
2.2%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
6.5%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
6.2%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.2%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.3%
51.3%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
0-1
10.7%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
23.7%
0-2
9%
1-3
5.4%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
15.7%
0-3
5%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
7.7%
0-4
2.1%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
24
6º
11º
11º
27
3º
12º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
38 | 59 |
1º
|
48% | |
|
2º
|
37 | 57 |
2º
|
36.5% | |
|
3º
|
33 | 51 |
3º
|
27% | |
|
4º
|
31 | 49 |
4º
|
22.5% | |
|
6º
|
27 | 47 |
5º
|
13.5% | |
|
|
5º
|
27 | 47 |
6º
|
16.5% | |
|
7º
|
26 | 44 |
7º
|
19.5% | |
|
11º
|
23 | 38 |
8º
|
12.5% | |
|
12º
|
22 | 37 |
9º
|
14% | |
|
8º
|
24 | 36 |
10º
|
15% | |
|
|
10º
|
24 | 36 |
11º
|
16.5% | |
|
15º
|
17 | 35 |
12º
|
11.5% | |
|
9º
|
24 | 35 |
13º
|
19% | |
|
14º
|
18 | 33 |
14º
|
25% | |
|
13º
|
18 | 29 |
15º
|
55.5% | |
|
16º
|
12 | 21 |
16º
|
86% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
6.5% | 69.5% |
|
Next round
|
72.5% | 30.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
21% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Standard de Liège
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Dec. 2024 |
BEE
0 - 0
SDL
27%
25%
48%
|
83 | 77 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2024 |
SDL
1 - 1
LEU
34%
26%
41%
|
83 | 84 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2024 |
GNK
2 - 1
SDL
59%
21%
20%
|
83 | 88 | 5 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2024 |
CHA
1 - 1
SDL
35%
26%
40%
|
83 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2024 |
SDL
1 - 0
CER
30%
26%
43%
|
82 | 86 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
KAA Gent
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Dec. 2024 |
LAR
1 - 0
GEN
18%
21%
61%
|
87 | 70 | 17 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 2024 |
GEN
1 - 1
CER
50%
24%
26%
|
87 | 86 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 2024 |
GEN
3 - 0
TSC
63%
21%
17%
|
88 | 82 | 6 | -1 |
| 07 Dec. 2024 |
GEN
2 - 0
STR
53%
23%
24%
|
88 | 85 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2024 |
UNI
3 - 2
GEN
42%
24%
34%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | 0 |