Europa League 1/16
Global 1-4
Standard de Liège vs Köln analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63%
Win probability
1.98
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.1%
3-0
7.4%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.2%
2-0
11.3%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.3%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
21%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
10%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
21%
15.9%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.9%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.8%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Standard de Liège
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Oct. 1984 |
SDL
1 - 0
KVK
78%
15%
7%
|
87 | 73 | 14 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 1984 |
ANT
2 - 1
SDL
36%
26%
38%
|
87 | 82 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 1984 |
SDL
0 - 0
LIE
77%
15%
9%
|
87 | 70 | 17 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 1984 |
SDL
2 - 0
GLE
84%
11%
5%
|
87 | 65 | 22 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 1984 |
CER
2 - 1
SDL
26%
25%
49%
|
87 | 72 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Köln
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Oct. 1984 |
KOL
4 - 2
F95
76%
14%
10%
|
84 | 74 | 10 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 1984 |
KOL
1 - 1
STU
54%
21%
25%
|
84 | 86 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 1984 |
POG
0 - 1
KOL
37%
23%
40%
|
83 | 76 | 7 | +1 |
| 29 Sep. 1984 |
KOL
6 - 1
BVB
70%
17%
13%
|
83 | 79 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 1984 |
BYM
2 - 0
KOL
68%
18%
15%
|
83 | 87 | 4 | 0 |