SL16 FC vs Union Namur analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.8%
Win probability
1.94
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.2%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.7%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.8%
22%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22%
23.1%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
6%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
14%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
6.3%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-32%
-33%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
3
7º
11º
8º
1
11º
12º
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
12º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
3º
|
9 | 43 |
1º
|
48.5% | |
|
1º
|
10 | 41 |
2º
|
28.5% | |
|
6º
|
4 | 38 |
3º
|
22.5% | |
|
4º
|
9 | 34 |
4º
|
11.5% | |
|
5º
|
9 | 32 |
5º
|
16% | |
|
10º
|
3 | 28 |
6º
|
12.5% | |
|
2º
|
9 | 28 |
7º
|
8% | |
|
|
11º
|
3 | 28 |
8º
|
3.5% | |
|
9º
|
4 | 27 |
9º
|
11% | |
|
8º
|
4 | 26 |
10º
|
16.5% | |
|
7º
|
4 | 26 |
11º
|
14% | |
|
|
12º
|
1 | 17 |
12º
|
58.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
30.5% | 3% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
69.5% | 97% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SL16 FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Sep. 2024 |
ROC
1 - 0
STL
47%
24%
29%
|
53 | 54 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2024 |
STL
0 - 3
RCS
48%
24%
27%
|
54 | 54 | 0 | -1 |
| 01 Sep. 2024 |
BIN
1 - 2
STL
42%
25%
33%
|
53 | 53 | 0 | +1 |
| 28 Aug. 2024 |
STL
1 - 2
EXC
46%
24%
31%
|
54 | 52 | 2 | -1 |
| 03 Aug. 2024 |
TIE
3 - 1
STL
30%
22%
48%
|
54 | 51 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Union Namur
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sep. 2024 |
NAM
2 - 3
BIN
28%
24%
48%
|
45 | 52 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2024 |
RCS
1 - 0
NAM
55%
22%
23%
|
45 | 55 | 10 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2024 |
NAM
3 - 3
OLY
23%
24%
53%
|
44 | 55 | 11 | +1 |
| 28 Aug. 2024 |
STO
5 - 1
NAM
42%
23%
35%
|
46 | 46 | 0 | -2 |
| 18 Aug. 2024 |
NAM
1 - 3
HOU
29%
23%
48%
|
47 | 53 | 6 | -1 |