Stal Mielec vs Arka Gdynia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.4%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
<0%
+4
2.4%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.9%
2-0
10.6%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.7%
1-0
14.6%
2-1
9%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.6%
26.7%
Draw
0-0
10%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
26.7%
21.9%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
8.5%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
14.9%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
5.3%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Stal Mielec
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Sep. 1978 |
STA
1 - 1
ZAG
51%
27%
22%
|
75 | 73 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 1978 |
LKS
2 - 0
STA
47%
27%
26%
|
76 | 74 | 2 | -1 |
| 09 Sep. 1978 |
STA
0 - 0
TSP
62%
25%
14%
|
76 | 67 | 9 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 1978 |
GWA
1 - 3
STA
53%
25%
22%
|
75 | 74 | 1 | +1 |
| 23 Aug. 1978 |
STA
4 - 0
GKS
49%
27%
24%
|
74 | 73 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Arka Gdynia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Sep. 1978 |
SZO
0 - 1
ARK
57%
24%
19%
|
71 | 73 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 1978 |
ARK
3 - 0
WAR
34%
27%
39%
|
70 | 78 | 8 | +1 |
| 09 Sep. 1978 |
RCH
1 - 0
ARK
61%
22%
17%
|
71 | 74 | 3 | -1 |
| 26 Aug. 1978 |
POG
4 - 0
ARK
63%
21%
16%
|
72 | 74 | 2 | -1 |
| 23 Aug. 1978 |
ARK
3 - 2
LPO
45%
27%
28%
|
71 | 74 | 3 | +1 |