Stade de Reims vs Le Havre analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.6%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
3%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4%
3-0
6.8%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.8%
2-0
11.6%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.5%
1-0
13.1%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.4%
23%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
23%
17.3%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
12%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
-13%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
20
4º
15º
13º
12
7º
18º
18º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
17º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
43 | 82 |
1º
|
95.5% | |
|
2º
|
36 | 67 |
2º
|
55% | |
|
4º
|
31 | 61 |
3º
|
23.5% | |
|
3º
|
32 | 60 |
4º
|
23% | |
|
6º
|
28 | 59 |
5º
|
22.5% | |
|
5º
|
30 | 55 |
6º
|
19.5% | |
|
7º
|
27 | 54 |
7º
|
20% | |
|
8º
|
24 | 46 |
8º
|
16.5% | |
|
14º
|
17 | 45 |
9º
|
11.5% | |
|
9º
|
23 | 45 |
10º
|
15.5% | |
|
11º
|
22 | 44 |
11º
|
10.5% | |
|
10º
|
22 | 41 |
12º
|
19% | |
|
|
12º
|
20 | 39 |
13º
|
16.5% | |
|
13º
|
19 | 35 |
14º
|
19% | |
|
15º
|
16 | 32 |
15º
|
14% | |
|
16º
|
16 | 32 |
16º
|
19% | |
|
18º
|
12 | 30 |
17º
|
26% | |
|
|
17º
|
12 | 24 |
18º
|
64% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Champions League
|
0% | 0% |
|
Champions League qualifying phase
|
0% | 0% |
|
Europa League
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
1% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
93% | 7% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
5.5% | 6.5% |
|
Relegation
|
0.5% | 86.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Stade de Reims
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jan. 2025 |
REI
1 - 1
MON
18%
21%
62%
|
85 | 93 | 8 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 2025 |
REI
2 - 4
NIC
33%
27%
40%
|
86 | 89 | 3 | -1 |
| 04 Jan. 2025 |
ASS
3 - 1
REI
31%
26%
43%
|
86 | 79 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 2024 |
ASM
1 - 3
REI
5%
14%
82%
|
86 | 12 | 74 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2024 |
REI
0 - 0
MON
18%
21%
61%
|
86 | 93 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Le Havre
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jan. 2025 |
LHA
1 - 2
LEN
18%
24%
58%
|
78 | 91 | 13 | 0 |
| 05 Jan. 2025 |
MAR
5 - 1
LHA
78%
15%
7%
|
78 | 92 | 14 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 2024 |
STA
1 - 0
LHA
11%
20%
69%
|
78 | 56 | 22 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 2024 |
LHA
0 - 3
STR
27%
25%
48%
|
79 | 85 | 6 | -1 |
| 07 Dec. 2024 |
NIC
2 - 1
LHA
67%
21%
12%
|
79 | 89 | 10 | 0 |