Stade Payerne vs FC Koniz analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
71.4%
Win probability
2.56
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.6%
5-0
2.6%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4%
4-0
5.2%
5-1
2.6%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
8.4%
3-0
8.1%
4-1
5.1%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
14.7%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
8%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.4%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.5%
16.2%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
7.3%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
16.2%
12.4%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
2.8%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
8.3%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
-41%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
19
4º
11º
10º
11
15º
16º
16º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
16º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
41 | 67 |
1º
|
66% | |
|
2º
|
39 | 60 |
2º
|
37% | |
|
3º
|
36 | 57 |
3º
|
21.5% | |
|
4º
|
33 | 56 |
4º
|
21% | |
|
6º
|
30 | 56 |
5º
|
27% | |
|
5º
|
32 | 50 |
6º
|
29% | |
|
9º
|
25 | 46 |
7º
|
23% | |
|
8º
|
25 | 43 |
8º
|
29.5% | |
|
7º
|
29 | 43 |
9º
|
29.5% | |
|
|
10º
|
19 | 34 |
10º
|
26% | |
|
11º
|
19 | 34 |
11º
|
24% | |
|
13º
|
18 | 32 |
12º
|
22% | |
|
12º
|
18 | 29 |
13º
|
26.5% | |
|
14º
|
16 | 24 |
14º
|
27% | |
|
15º
|
13 | 22 |
15º
|
28.5% | |
|
|
16º
|
11 | 19 |
16º
|
56.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
99% | 22% |
|
Relegation
|
1% | 78% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Stade Payerne
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Feb. 2025 |
ECH
2 - 1
STA
51%
23%
27%
|
43 | 44 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2024 |
STA
1 - 1
LAU
27%
23%
50%
|
42 | 49 | 7 | +1 |
| 16 Nov. 2024 |
STA
2 - 3
NAT
44%
25%
31%
|
43 | 45 | 2 | -1 |
| 09 Nov. 2024 |
MEY
3 - 1
STA
53%
22%
25%
|
44 | 46 | 2 | -1 |
| 02 Nov. 2024 |
STA
2 - 2
CSC
40%
25%
36%
|
44 | 46 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
FC Koniz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Feb. 2025 |
FCK
1 - 3
SEC
35%
24%
41%
|
31 | 35 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2025 |
FCK
2 - 1
ECH
12%
17%
71%
|
27 | 45 | 18 | +4 |
| 16 Nov. 2024 |
FCK
1 - 3
LAU
9%
17%
74%
|
29 | 49 | 20 | -2 |
| 09 Nov. 2024 |
NAT
2 - 1
FCK
77%
15%
8%
|
29 | 45 | 16 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2024 |
FCK
0 - 5
MEY
12%
19%
68%
|
31 | 45 | 14 | -2 |