Challenge League round 15

Stade Nyonnais vs FC Vaduz analysis

Stade Nyonnais FC Vaduz
60 ELO 71
16.6% Tilt 13.7%
2170º General ELO ranking 1508º
23º Country ELO ranking
ELO win probability
22.3%
Stade Nyonnais
22.2%
Draw
55.5%
FC Vaduz

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
22.3%
Win probability
Stade Nyonnais
1.14
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.9%
2-0
3.1%
3-1
2.2%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
5.9%
1-0
5.4%
2-1
5.8%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.8%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.2%
55.5%
Win probability
FC Vaduz
1.92
Expected goals
0-1
9.1%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.2%
0-2
8.7%
1-3
6.3%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
17%
0-3
5.5%
1-4
3%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
9.3%
0-4
2.7%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.4%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Stade Nyonnais
-23%
-2%
FC Vaduz

Points and table prediction

Stade Nyonnais
Their league position
FC Vaduz
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
10
10º
10º
20
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
Expected position in the table
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Thun
28
35
72.5%
Etoile Carouge
26
33
59.5%
Aarau
21
28
27.5%
FC Vaduz
20
27
24.5%
Neuchâtel Xamax
22
26
23.5%
Stade Lausanne-Ouchy
16
23
22.5%
FC Wil
18
22
23%
AC Bellinzona
16
20
33%
Schaffhausen
15
19
35%
Stade Nyonnais
10º
10
14
10º
89.5%
Expected probabilities
Stade Nyonnais
FC Vaduz
Promotion
0% 1%
Promotion play-offs
0% 7.5%
Mid-table
10.5% 91.5%
Relegation
89.5% 0%

ELO progression

Stade Nyonnais
FC Vaduz
Schaffhausen
Neuchâtel Xamax
AC Bellinzona
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Stade Nyonnais
Stade Nyonnais
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
08 Nov. 2024
STA
Stade Lausanne-Ouchy
6 - 2
Stade Nyonnais
STA
65%
20%
15%
61 72 11 0
01 Nov. 2024
STA
Stade Nyonnais
1 - 6
Thun
THU
19%
23%
58%
61 77 16 0
25 Oct. 2024
FCA
Aarau
1 - 0
Stade Nyonnais
STA
59%
22%
19%
61 69 8 0
18 Oct. 2024
STA
Stade Nyonnais
3 - 1
FC Wil
WIL
31%
24%
45%
60 66 6 +1
04 Oct. 2024
ETO
Etoile Carouge
3 - 1
Stade Nyonnais
STA
55%
23%
23%
60 66 6 0

Matches

FC Vaduz
FC Vaduz
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
08 Nov. 2024
FCV
FC Vaduz
2 - 1
Neuchâtel Xamax
NEX
51%
24%
26%
70 68 2 0
01 Nov. 2024
STA
Stade Lausanne-Ouchy
2 - 2
FC Vaduz
FCV
44%
24%
32%
70 72 2 0
27 Oct. 2024
WIL
FC Wil
0 - 0
FC Vaduz
FCV
28%
24%
48%
70 65 5 0
19 Oct. 2024
FCV
FC Vaduz
2 - 0
Thun
THU
26%
25%
49%
69 77 8 +1
16 Oct. 2024
TRI
Triesenberg II
0 - 10
FC Vaduz
FCV
2%
6%
91%
68 6 62 +1