Challenge League round 15

Stade Nyonnais vs FC Vaduz analysis

Stade Nyonnais FC Vaduz
61 ELO 71
15.5% Tilt 13.1%
1797º General ELO ranking 934º
23º Country ELO ranking
ELO win probability
23.5%
Stade Nyonnais
22.5%
Draw
54%
FC Vaduz

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
23.5%
Win probability
Stade Nyonnais
1.17
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.1%
2-0
3.2%
3-1
2.4%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
6.3%
1-0
5.5%
2-1
6.1%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.3%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.5%
54%
Win probability
FC Vaduz
1.88
Expected goals
0-1
8.9%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23%
0-2
8.4%
1-3
6.1%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
16.5%
0-3
5.3%
1-4
2.9%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
8.9%
0-4
2.5%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.8%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.3%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Stade Nyonnais
-17%
+5%
FC Vaduz

Points and table prediction

Stade Nyonnais
Their league position
FC Vaduz
CURR.POS.
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
18
10º
28
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
Expected position in the table
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Thun
36
70
80.5%
Aarau
32
60
37.5%
FC Vaduz
28
56
21%
Etoile Carouge
31
54
16%
Stade Lausanne-Ouchy
20
49
19%
FC Wil
26
48
20%
Neuchâtel Xamax
25
44
18.5%
AC Bellinzona
24
43
25.5%
Stade Nyonnais
18
35
35%
Schaffhausen
10º
16
32
10º
52%
Expected probabilities
Stade Nyonnais
FC Vaduz
Promotion
0% 6%
Promotion play-offs
0% 19.5%
Mid-table
61% 74.5%
Relegation
39% 0%

ELO progression

Stade Nyonnais
FC Vaduz
Schaffhausen
FC Wil
Neuchâtel Xamax
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Stade Nyonnais
Stade Nyonnais
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
30 Nov. 2024
BEL
AC Bellinzona
1 - 1
Stade Nyonnais
STA
45%
26%
29%
60 65 5 0
08 Nov. 2024
STA
Stade Lausanne-Ouchy
6 - 2
Stade Nyonnais
STA
65%
20%
15%
61 72 11 -1
01 Nov. 2024
STA
Stade Nyonnais
1 - 6
Thun
THU
19%
23%
58%
61 77 16 0
25 Oct. 2024
FCA
Aarau
1 - 0
Stade Nyonnais
STA
59%
22%
19%
62 70 8 -1
18 Oct. 2024
STA
Stade Nyonnais
3 - 1
FC Wil
WIL
31%
24%
45%
60 66 6 +2

Matches

FC Vaduz
FC Vaduz
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
29 Nov. 2024
FCV
FC Vaduz
2 - 2
Schaffhausen
SCH
55%
23%
22%
71 66 5 0
08 Nov. 2024
FCV
FC Vaduz
2 - 1
Neuchâtel Xamax
NEX
51%
24%
26%
70 68 2 +1
01 Nov. 2024
STA
Stade Lausanne-Ouchy
2 - 2
FC Vaduz
FCV
44%
24%
32%
70 72 2 0
27 Oct. 2024
WIL
FC Wil
0 - 0
FC Vaduz
FCV
28%
24%
48%
70 65 5 0
19 Oct. 2024
FCV
FC Vaduz
2 - 0
Thun
THU
26%
25%
49%
69 77 8 +1