Stade Lavallois vs Red Star analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.9%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.6%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.2%
2-0
9%
3-1
5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.2%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
25%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25%
25.2%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
7.4%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.8%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.7%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+21%
-13%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
34
5º
15º
6º
22
7º
17º
15º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
16º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
43 | 69 |
1º
|
72% | |
|
2º
|
40 | 64 |
2º
|
36% | |
|
3º
|
38 | 62 |
3º
|
25.5% | |
|
5º
|
35 | 56 |
4º
|
20.5% | |
|
4º
|
36 | 54 |
5º
|
19.5% | |
|
|
6º
|
34 | 53 |
6º
|
15.5% | |
|
7º
|
33 | 51 |
7º
|
15% | |
|
9º
|
29 | 47 |
8º
|
10.5% | |
|
11º
|
27 | 45 |
9º
|
12.5% | |
|
8º
|
30 | 45 |
10º
|
15.5% | |
|
10º
|
29 | 44 |
11º
|
12% | |
|
12º
|
24 | 42 |
12º
|
13% | |
|
13º
|
24 | 42 |
13º
|
13.5% | |
|
15º
|
23 | 41 |
14º
|
17% | |
|
|
16º
|
22 | 40 |
15º
|
16% | |
|
14º
|
24 | 36 |
16º
|
26.5% | |
|
18º
|
15 | 30 |
17º
|
28% | |
|
17º
|
18 | 30 |
18º
|
40.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
5% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
43% | 0.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
52% | 77% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 10.5% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 12% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Stade Lavallois
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Jan. 2025 |
STL
2 - 0
LOR
29%
26%
45%
|
74 | 82 | 8 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 2024 |
SAM
0 - 0
STL
5%
11%
85%
|
73 | 22 | 51 | +1 |
| 13 Dec. 2024 |
AMI
1 - 3
STL
42%
29%
30%
|
73 | 72 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 2024 |
STL
1 - 0
CAE
41%
25%
33%
|
72 | 73 | 1 | +1 |
| 30 Nov. 2024 |
STL
2 - 2
CON
53%
23%
24%
|
72 | 67 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Red Star
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Jan. 2025 |
ROD
0 - 2
RED
53%
24%
23%
|
71 | 74 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2024 |
RED
3 - 1
GRE
45%
27%
28%
|
70 | 71 | 1 | +1 |
| 06 Dec. 2024 |
RED
0 - 0
BAS
36%
26%
37%
|
69 | 74 | 5 | +1 |
| 30 Nov. 2024 |
BOB
2 - 2
RED
19%
21%
60%
|
69 | 57 | 12 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 2024 |
PAU
4 - 1
RED
45%
26%
29%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | -1 |