Stade de Mbour vs ASC Jaraaf analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
29%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.9%
2-0
5.4%
3-1
1.6%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
7.2%
1-0
12.9%
2-1
5.6%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
0.1%
+1
19.4%
31.8%
Draw
0-0
15.3%
1-1
13.3%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
31.8%
39.2%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
15.8%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
23.8%
0-2
8.2%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
10.8%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+20%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Stade de Mbour
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 May. 2024 |
SDI
1 - 0
STA
50%
28%
23%
|
60 | 63 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2024 |
STA
1 - 0
GOR
35%
31%
34%
|
59 | 62 | 3 | +1 |
| 13 Apr. 2024 |
DIA
0 - 3
STA
59%
25%
16%
|
57 | 65 | 8 | +2 |
| 07 Apr. 2024 |
STA
0 - 1
ASD
33%
33%
34%
|
58 | 63 | 5 | -1 |
| 28 Mar. 2024 |
GUE
3 - 1
STA
58%
26%
16%
|
58 | 66 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
ASC Jaraaf
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 May. 2024 |
JAR
3 - 0
TFC
39%
30%
32%
|
66 | 66 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2024 |
PIK
0 - 1
JAR
41%
31%
28%
|
66 | 66 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2024 |
JAR
0 - 0
CAS
45%
29%
26%
|
66 | 62 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2024 |
AGF
1 - 0
JAR
48%
28%
24%
|
66 | 65 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2024 |
SDI
0 - 0
JAR
42%
30%
29%
|
66 | 62 | 4 | 0 |