FC St Pauli vs MSV Duisburg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.7%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.5%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.1%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
25.5%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.5%
24.8%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
7.8%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.8%
0-2
4%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.5%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+18%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC St Pauli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Dec. 2017 |
ARB
5 - 0
STP
44%
26%
31%
|
72 | 69 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2017 |
SGF
4 - 0
STP
36%
27%
37%
|
73 | 67 | 6 | -1 |
| 19 Nov. 2017 |
STP
2 - 2
SSV
54%
25%
22%
|
73 | 67 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2017 |
STP
3 - 1
OBK
44%
25%
31%
|
73 | 72 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2017 |
FCU
1 - 0
STP
52%
24%
24%
|
73 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
MSV Duisburg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Dec. 2017 |
MSV
2 - 0
SGF
42%
26%
32%
|
67 | 68 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2017 |
SSV
4 - 0
MSV
49%
25%
26%
|
68 | 67 | 1 | -1 |
| 19 Nov. 2017 |
MSV
3 - 0
ERZ
46%
26%
28%
|
67 | 66 | 1 | +1 |
| 09 Nov. 2017 |
LEV
3 - 3
MSV
78%
15%
7%
|
67 | 86 | 19 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2017 |
SVS
0 - 1
MSV
49%
27%
24%
|
66 | 72 | 6 | +1 |