St Patrick's vs Shamrock Rovers analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.2%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.5%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
9%
2-0
12%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18%
1-0
14.6%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.1%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
8.8%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
24.4%
17.5%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
12.3%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
St Patrick's
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jul. 2008 |
JFK
0 - 1
STP
20%
23%
58%
|
73 | 47 | 26 | 0 |
| 12 Jul. 2008 |
COB
0 - 1
STP
28%
28%
45%
|
73 | 57 | 16 | 0 |
| 06 Jul. 2008 |
STP
5 - 1
FIN
64%
22%
14%
|
73 | 59 | 14 | 0 |
| 27 Jun. 2008 |
DER
0 - 3
STP
47%
28%
25%
|
72 | 74 | 2 | +1 |
| 20 Jun. 2008 |
STP
1 - 1
BRW
62%
23%
16%
|
72 | 59 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Shamrock Rovers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Jul. 2008 |
UCD
0 - 2
SHR
35%
28%
37%
|
67 | 59 | 8 | 0 |
| 04 Jul. 2008 |
SHR
0 - 0
COB
59%
25%
16%
|
67 | 57 | 10 | 0 |
| 20 Jun. 2008 |
SHR
3 - 1
GAL
54%
26%
20%
|
66 | 59 | 7 | +1 |
| 07 Jun. 2008 |
SHR
2 - 1
SLR
44%
27%
30%
|
66 | 62 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 May. 2008 |
BRW
1 - 0
SHR
39%
27%
34%
|
67 | 58 | 9 | -1 |