St. Mirren vs Livingston analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
36%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.5%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
10.1%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.2%
28.5%
Draw
0-0
10.3%
1-1
13.3%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
28.5%
35.4%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
11.6%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
21%
0-2
6.6%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
9.9%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+21%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
44
4º
12º
6º
42
4º
9º
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
7º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
92 | 92 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
79 | 80 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
50 | 51 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
48 | 48 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
44 | 44 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
|
6º
|
44 | 44 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
|
7º
|
42 | 42 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
37 | 37 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
33 | 33 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
31 | 31 |
10º
|
0% | |
|
11º
|
31 | 31 |
11º
|
0% | |
|
12º
|
27 | 27 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
St. Mirren
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Mar. 2023 |
DUN
1 - 1
STM
35%
27%
38%
|
70 | 65 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2023 |
STM
1 - 5
CEL
13%
20%
68%
|
70 | 82 | 12 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2023 |
STJ
1 - 1
STM
34%
28%
38%
|
70 | 68 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2023 |
STM
1 - 0
ROS
48%
28%
24%
|
69 | 64 | 5 | +1 |
| 15 Feb. 2023 |
MHE
2 - 1
STM
36%
26%
38%
|
70 | 64 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Livingston
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Mar. 2023 |
LIV
2 - 1
ROS
54%
26%
20%
|
70 | 65 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2023 |
LIV
1 - 1
DUN
53%
26%
21%
|
70 | 65 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2023 |
LIV
1 - 4
HIB
33%
28%
39%
|
71 | 75 | 4 | -1 |
| 25 Feb. 2023 |
ABE
1 - 0
LIV
47%
26%
28%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2023 |
LIV
0 - 3
GLA
20%
24%
55%
|
71 | 82 | 11 | 0 |