St. Mirren vs Rangers analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
19.3%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.3%
2-0
2.9%
3-1
1.5%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.7%
1-0
6.5%
2-1
5%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
13%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.6%
57%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
0-1
12.5%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.1%
0-2
10.8%
1-3
5.6%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
17.6%
0-3
6.2%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
9.1%
0-4
2.7%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.6%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+8%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
43
2º
6º
5º
75
1º
9º
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
2º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
78 | 78 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
75 | 75 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
62 | 62 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
51 | 51 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
|
5º
|
43 | 43 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
41 | 41 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
39 | 39 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
37 | 37 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
35 | 35 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
31 | 31 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
30 | 30 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
18 | 18 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
St. Mirren
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Sep. 2023 |
KIL
1 - 1
STM
43%
26%
30%
|
70 | 69 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2023 |
HIB
4 - 2
STM
55%
22%
23%
|
71 | 74 | 3 | -1 |
| 23 Sep. 2023 |
STM
1 - 0
HOM
35%
28%
37%
|
71 | 74 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2023 |
MHE
0 - 1
STM
51%
25%
24%
|
70 | 72 | 2 | +1 |
| 02 Sep. 2023 |
LIV
1 - 1
STM
38%
28%
35%
|
71 | 69 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Rangers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Oct. 2023 |
ARI
2 - 1
GLA
39%
25%
36%
|
82 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2023 |
GLA
1 - 3
ABE
69%
19%
12%
|
82 | 73 | 9 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2023 |
GLA
4 - 0
LIV
73%
16%
11%
|
82 | 68 | 14 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2023 |
GLA
1 - 0
MHE
73%
17%
10%
|
82 | 71 | 11 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2023 |
GLA
1 - 0
BET
26%
24%
50%
|
82 | 88 | 6 | 0 |