St. Mirren vs Dumbarton analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
72.9%
Win probability
2.13
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.9%
4-0
5.6%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
+4
7.2%
3-0
10.5%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.3%
2-0
14.7%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.2%
1-0
13.8%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
17.9%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
17.9%
9.2%
Win probability
0.6
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
2.5%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.8%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
St. Mirren
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Mar. 2018 |
QOS
1 - 3
STM
27%
24%
49%
|
63 | 56 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2018 |
STM
2 - 0
DUN
60%
23%
17%
|
63 | 57 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2018 |
STM
1 - 0
BRE
76%
16%
8%
|
63 | 37 | 26 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2018 |
LIV
4 - 1
STM
35%
26%
39%
|
64 | 62 | 2 | -1 |
| 03 Feb. 2018 |
STM
2 - 0
QOS
59%
23%
18%
|
63 | 57 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Dumbarton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Mar. 2018 |
DUM
0 - 1
ICT
24%
24%
53%
|
50 | 60 | 10 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2018 |
BRE
1 - 3
DUM
18%
23%
60%
|
50 | 37 | 13 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2018 |
DUM
1 - 0
BRE
69%
18%
13%
|
50 | 37 | 13 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2018 |
DUM
0 - 1
QOS
35%
26%
39%
|
51 | 56 | 5 | -1 |
| 24 Feb. 2018 |
FAL
0 - 0
DUM
68%
19%
12%
|
50 | 60 | 10 | +1 |