St. Martin im Muhlreis vs SU Bad Leonfelden analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
74.6%
Win probability
2.79
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.5%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
2.2%
5-0
3.2%
6-1
1.5%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
5%
4-0
5.7%
5-1
3.2%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
9.7%
3-0
8.1%
4-1
5.7%
5-2
1.6%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
15.7%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
2.9%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.4%
1-0
6.3%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.3%
14.6%
Draw
0-0
2.2%
1-1
6.3%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
14.6%
10.8%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
2.3%
1-2
3.2%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
7.3%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
2.6%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-40%
+52%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
49
1º
13º
5º
36
4º
13º
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
13º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
67 | 67 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
55 | 55 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
52 | 52 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
49 | 49 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
|
5º
|
49 | 49 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
48 | 48 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
45 | 45 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
45 | 45 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
44 | 44 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
44 | 44 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
41 | 41 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
36 | 36 |
12º
|
0% | |
|
|
13º
|
36 | 36 |
13º
|
0% | |
|
14º
|
33 | 33 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
24 | 24 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
10 | 10 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
St. Martin im Muhlreis
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Apr. 2024 |
SVF
3 - 0
STM
35%
22%
44%
|
29 | 22 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2024 |
STM
3 - 0
BAD
48%
22%
30%
|
28 | 27 | 1 | +1 |
| 12 Apr. 2024 |
SPG
2 - 2
STM
21%
21%
58%
|
27 | 18 | 9 | +1 |
| 06 Apr. 2024 |
STM
0 - 3
OED
23%
21%
56%
|
30 | 41 | 11 | -3 |
| 30 Mar. 2024 |
WEL
1 - 2
STM
18%
20%
62%
|
30 | 17 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
SU Bad Leonfelden
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Apr. 2024 |
SBL
0 - 2
SVF
25%
21%
55%
|
17 | 24 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2024 |
SBL
1 - 3
GRU
28%
22%
51%
|
18 | 25 | 7 | -1 |
| 13 Apr. 2024 |
BAD
3 - 0
SBL
72%
15%
13%
|
18 | 26 | 8 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2024 |
SBL
0 - 1
SPG
55%
21%
25%
|
19 | 17 | 2 | -1 |
| 29 Mar. 2024 |
OED
3 - 0
SBL
83%
10%
6%
|
20 | 41 | 21 | -1 |