St. Johnstone vs Livingston analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
21.4%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.5%
2-0
3.3%
3-1
1.7%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.3%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
5.4%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.2%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.9%
53.8%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
0-1
12.8%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25%
0-2
10.4%
1-3
5.1%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16.5%
0-3
5.6%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
8%
0-4
2.3%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+23%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
St. Johnstone
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Feb. 2002 |
DUN
1 - 0
STJ
59%
24%
17%
|
62 | 69 | 7 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2002 |
STJ
0 - 1
ABE
26%
26%
48%
|
63 | 74 | 11 | -1 |
| 20 Jan. 2002 |
STJ
1 - 4
DUN
37%
28%
35%
|
63 | 68 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2002 |
CEL
2 - 1
STJ
80%
14%
7%
|
63 | 81 | 18 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2002 |
STJ
0 - 1
DUN
37%
27%
36%
|
64 | 69 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Livingston
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Feb. 2002 |
LIV
1 - 1
DUN
58%
23%
19%
|
77 | 70 | 7 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2002 |
MHE
1 - 2
LIV
34%
25%
41%
|
77 | 66 | 11 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2002 |
LIV
1 - 3
CEL
33%
25%
42%
|
77 | 81 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2002 |
ABE
2 - 0
LIV
43%
25%
31%
|
78 | 73 | 5 | -1 |
| 19 Jan. 2002 |
LIV
2 - 0
HOM
46%
26%
28%
|
77 | 78 | 1 | +1 |