Scottish Premiership Promotion Final
Global 6-2
St. Johnstone vs Inverness CT analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39.4%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.5%
2-0
7%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.5%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.6%
26.9%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.9%
33.7%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
9.7%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19.6%
0-2
5.8%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.5%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-20%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
St. Johnstone
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 May. 2022 |
ICT
2 - 2
STJ
41%
26%
33%
|
69 | 66 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2022 |
HIB
4 - 0
STJ
56%
25%
19%
|
70 | 77 | 7 | -1 |
| 11 May. 2022 |
STJ
1 - 0
ABE
30%
30%
40%
|
69 | 75 | 6 | +1 |
| 07 May. 2022 |
LIV
1 - 1
STJ
49%
27%
24%
|
69 | 73 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2022 |
STJ
0 - 1
STM
35%
29%
37%
|
69 | 69 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Inverness CT
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 May. 2022 |
ICT
2 - 2
STJ
41%
26%
33%
|
66 | 69 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2022 |
ARB
0 - 0
ICT
41%
25%
35%
|
66 | 65 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2022 |
ICT
0 - 0
ARB
48%
25%
27%
|
66 | 65 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2022 |
ICT
1 - 0
PAR
57%
22%
21%
|
66 | 58 | 8 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2022 |
PAR
1 - 2
ICT
27%
25%
49%
|
65 | 58 | 7 | +1 |