St. Johnstone vs Heart of Midlothian analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.3%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.2%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.5%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.6%
1-0
12.4%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
26.2%
Draw
0-0
8.4%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.2%
25.5%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
8.4%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.3%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.6%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
St. Johnstone
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Dec. 2015 |
STJ
0 - 3
CEL
30%
26%
44%
|
77 | 81 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 2015 |
ROS
2 - 3
STJ
37%
27%
36%
|
77 | 70 | 7 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2015 |
STJ
1 - 1
DUN
60%
24%
16%
|
77 | 66 | 11 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 2015 |
DUN
1 - 2
STJ
35%
28%
37%
|
77 | 68 | 9 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2015 |
STJ
2 - 1
KIL
63%
23%
14%
|
77 | 62 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Heart of Midlothian
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Dec. 2015 |
ABE
1 - 0
HOM
52%
26%
23%
|
72 | 79 | 7 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 2015 |
MHE
2 - 2
HOM
37%
27%
36%
|
73 | 65 | 8 | -1 |
| 21 Nov. 2015 |
HOM
1 - 1
DUN
66%
20%
14%
|
73 | 66 | 7 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2015 |
HOM
2 - 0
HAM
67%
19%
13%
|
72 | 65 | 7 | +1 |
| 31 Oct. 2015 |
PAR
0 - 4
HOM
38%
27%
35%
|
71 | 66 | 5 | +1 |