St. Johnstone vs Dunfermline Athletic FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.6%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
3%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.8%
3-0
6.9%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.6%
2-0
12.1%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.5%
1-0
14.1%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
11%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
23.6%
16.8%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.8%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.9%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
St. Johnstone
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Apr. 2009 |
STJ
1 - 1
PAR
61%
23%
16%
|
69 | 61 | 8 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2009 |
STJ
3 - 0
AIR
65%
22%
14%
|
68 | 59 | 9 | +1 |
| 14 Mar. 2009 |
LIV
1 - 0
STJ
29%
25%
46%
|
69 | 57 | 12 | -1 |
| 10 Mar. 2009 |
CLY
1 - 3
STJ
27%
26%
47%
|
69 | 56 | 13 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2009 |
STJ
0 - 0
ROS
62%
22%
16%
|
69 | 61 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Dunfermline Athletic FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Apr. 2009 |
AIR
1 - 1
DUN
43%
27%
30%
|
62 | 59 | 3 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2009 |
DUN
1 - 1
DUN
47%
27%
26%
|
62 | 63 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2009 |
ROS
2 - 1
DUN
44%
26%
30%
|
63 | 59 | 4 | -1 |
| 21 Mar. 2009 |
CLY
1 - 4
DUN
38%
27%
35%
|
62 | 55 | 7 | +1 |
| 18 Mar. 2009 |
ABE
0 - 0
DUN
70%
20%
11%
|
62 | 77 | 15 | 0 |