FA Cup Previa 3
Global 5-2
St Ives Town vs Harpenden Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
80.7%
Win probability
2.82
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.8%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1%
6-0
2%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.7%
5-0
4.3%
6-1
1.4%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
6%
4-0
7.7%
5-1
3.1%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
<0%
+4
11.3%
3-0
10.9%
4-1
5.5%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
17.6%
2-0
11.7%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.7%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.8%
12.5%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
5.9%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
12.5%
6.7%
Win probability
0.71
Expected goals
0-1
2.1%
1-2
2.1%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
5%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.4%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
St Ives Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
HAT
0 - 0
STI
9%
15%
77%
|
45 | 24 | 21 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2024 |
STI
5 - 1
SPA
57%
21%
22%
|
44 | 42 | 2 | +1 |
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
HAL
1 - 0
STI
31%
23%
45%
|
44 | 40 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2024 |
STI
2 - 1
BAN
80%
13%
7%
|
44 | 29 | 15 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2024 |
STI
3 - 1
LOW
63%
19%
18%
|
43 | 37 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Harpenden Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
HAT
0 - 0
STI
9%
15%
77%
|
24 | 45 | 21 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2024 |
HAT
1 - 0
FCR
48%
22%
30%
|
24 | 19 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2024 |
DUN
0 - 1
HAT
31%
24%
45%
|
23 | 19 | 4 | +1 |
| 17 Apr. 2024 |
FCR
0 - 2
HAT
47%
23%
30%
|
23 | 22 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2024 |
HAT
2 - 1
STC
66%
18%
17%
|
23 | 16 | 7 | 0 |