Jahn Regensburg vs Köln analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
15%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
0.9%
2-0
2%
3-1
1.3%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.6%
1-0
4.4%
2-1
4.2%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
10.2%
19.8%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.8%
65.2%
Win probability
2.11
Expected goals
0-1
10.4%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
23.9%
0-2
11%
1-3
6.9%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
19.8%
0-3
7.7%
1-4
3.7%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
12.1%
0-4
4.1%
1-5
1.5%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
5.9%
0-5
1.7%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.3%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.8%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-14%
+4%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
18º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
11
11º
18º
18º
31
1º
13º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
31 | 64 |
1º
|
45.5% | |
|
3º
|
28 | 59 |
2º
|
18.5% | |
|
2º
|
29 | 57 |
3º
|
14% | |
|
8º
|
26 | 56 |
4º
|
14% | |
|
6º
|
28 | 56 |
5º
|
12% | |
|
4º
|
28 | 52 |
6º
|
9.5% | |
|
7º
|
27 | 52 |
7º
|
13.5% | |
|
9º
|
26 | 51 |
8º
|
10.5% | |
|
12º
|
22 | 50 |
9º
|
15% | |
|
5º
|
28 | 50 |
10º
|
5.5% | |
|
10º
|
24 | 49 |
11º
|
14% | |
|
13º
|
20 | 45 |
12º
|
14% | |
|
14º
|
20 | 42 |
13º
|
21% | |
|
11º
|
22 | 41 |
14º
|
24.5% | |
|
15º
|
16 | 35 |
15º
|
29.5% | |
|
16º
|
14 | 33 |
16º
|
32.5% | |
|
17º
|
13 | 29 |
17º
|
38.5% | |
|
|
18º
|
11 | 24 |
18º
|
63% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 71.5% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 9.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
3.5% | 19% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
9% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
87.5% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Jahn Regensburg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Dec. 2024 |
SSV
0 - 3
STU
8%
15%
77%
|
70 | 93 | 23 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2024 |
EBT
0 - 0
SSV
44%
26%
30%
|
70 | 73 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2024 |
SSV
0 - 1
MAG
23%
24%
53%
|
70 | 78 | 8 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2024 |
S04
2 - 0
SSV
60%
22%
19%
|
71 | 78 | 7 | -1 |
| 02 Nov. 2024 |
SSV
1 - 0
ELV
24%
25%
52%
|
70 | 78 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
Köln
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Dec. 2024 |
KOL
2 - 1
HER
50%
22%
28%
|
86 | 83 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2024 |
KOL
2 - 2
HAN
57%
22%
21%
|
87 | 81 | 6 | -1 |
| 22 Nov. 2024 |
PRE
0 - 1
KOL
20%
21%
60%
|
86 | 74 | 12 | +1 |
| 14 Nov. 2024 |
KOL
1 - 1
GRO
58%
21%
21%
|
86 | 80 | 6 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2024 |
KOL
1 - 0
SGF
60%
21%
19%
|
86 | 77 | 9 | 0 |