Serie D Grupo B round 38

Real Calepina vs US Ponte San Pietro analysis

Real Calepina US Ponte San Pietro
34 ELO 26
-33.2% Tilt -9.9%
8130º General ELO ranking 10208º
279º Country ELO ranking 346º
ELO win probability
46.2%
Real Calepina
26.1%
Draw
27.7%
US Ponte San Pietro

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.2%
Win probability
Real Calepina
1.47
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.1%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.1%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.9%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.4%
26.1%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.1%
27.7%
Win probability
US Ponte San Pietro
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
8.5%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.1%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
7.4%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Real Calepina
+8%
-10%
US Ponte San Pietro

Points and table prediction

Real Calepina
Their league position
US Ponte San Pietro
CURR.POS.
15º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
42
10º
20º
15º
25
20º
20º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
20º
Expected position in the table
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Caldiero Terme
77
77
100%
Piacenza
74
74
100%
 Pro Palazzolo
73
73
100%
Desenzano Calvina
70
70
100%
Varesina
68
68
100%
Arconatese
68
68
100%
Calcio Brusaporto
54
54
100%
Villa Valle
53
53
100%
AC Chievo Verona
53
53
100%
Casatese
10º
52
52
10º
100%
Folgore Caratese
11º
51
51
11º
100%
Club Milano
12º
45
45
12º
0%
Virtus Ciserano Bergamo
13º
45
45
13º
0%
Caravaggio
14º
44
44
14º
100%
Real Calepina
15º
42
42
15º
100%
AC Legnano
16º
42
42
16º
100%
Castellanzese
17º
39
39
17º
100%
Crema
18º
34
34
18º
100%
Tritium
19º
29
29
19º
100%
US Ponte San Pietro
20º
25
25
20º
100%
Expected probabilities
Real Calepina
US Ponte San Pietro
Promotion
0% 0%
Promotion play-offs
0% 0%
Mid-table
100% 0%
Relegation play-offs
0% 0%
Relegation
0% 100%

ELO progression

Real Calepina
US Ponte San Pietro
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Real Calepina
Real Calepina
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
28 Apr. 2024
PIA
Piacenza
3 - 0
Real Calepina
CAL
79%
15%
6%
34 53 19 0
21 Apr. 2024
CAL
Real Calepina
0 - 1
Caldiero Terme
CAL
13%
24%
63%
34 46 12 0
14 Apr. 2024
CRE
Crema
0 - 1
Real Calepina
CAL
33%
24%
43%
33 28 5 +1
07 Apr. 2024
CAL
Real Calepina
0 - 0
AC Legnano
UNI
32%
26%
41%
33 34 1 0
28 Mar. 2024
PAL
 Pro Palazzolo
1 - 0
Real Calepina
CAL
51%
23%
27%
33 37 4 0

Matches

US Ponte San Pietro
US Ponte San Pietro
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
28 Apr. 2024
USP
US Ponte San Pietro
2 - 3
Villa Valle
VIL
22%
25%
53%
28 39 11 0
21 Apr. 2024
VAR
Varesina
2 - 1
US Ponte San Pietro
USP
77%
15%
9%
28 42 14 0
14 Apr. 2024
USP
US Ponte San Pietro
0 - 1
Calcio Brusaporto
CAL
18%
21%
61%
29 39 10 -1
07 Apr. 2024
CAS
Castellanzese
2 - 5
US Ponte San Pietro
USP
68%
18%
14%
26 35 9 +3
28 Mar. 2024
USP
US Ponte San Pietro
1 - 0
AC Chievo Verona
FCC
25%
23%
52%
24 34 10 +2