Real Calepina vs Folgore Caratese analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
26.2%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.5%
2-0
3.7%
3-1
2.7%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.2%
1-0
6.2%
2-1
6.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.6%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.4%
50.4%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
0-1
9%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.7%
0-2
8%
1-3
5.7%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
15.3%
0-3
4.7%
1-4
2.5%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
7.8%
0-4
2.1%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.1%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-25%
+53%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Calepina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Oct. 2021 |
ARC
2 - 1
CAL
59%
20%
21%
|
26 | 30 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2021 |
CAL
3 - 0
CAR
27%
23%
50%
|
24 | 31 | 7 | +2 |
| 16 Oct. 2021 |
CAL
0 - 0
ADR
23%
22%
56%
|
23 | 34 | 11 | +1 |
| 10 Oct. 2021 |
VIL
0 - 0
CAL
56%
22%
23%
|
23 | 27 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2021 |
DES
1 - 0
CAL
69%
17%
14%
|
24 | 33 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
Folgore Caratese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Oct. 2021 |
FOL
2 - 2
VIL
59%
22%
19%
|
35 | 27 | 8 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2021 |
LEO
2 - 5
FOL
27%
23%
50%
|
34 | 22 | 12 | +1 |
| 17 Oct. 2021 |
FOL
1 - 1
VCB
48%
23%
29%
|
34 | 32 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2021 |
SON
2 - 1
FOL
47%
23%
30%
|
35 | 34 | 1 | -1 |
| 06 Oct. 2021 |
USB
2 - 2
FOL
53%
22%
25%
|
35 | 36 | 1 | 0 |