Real Calepina vs Caravaggio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.5%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
4%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.9%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.7%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.3%
26.4%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.3%
28.1%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
8.7%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.4%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
7.6%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Calepina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Aug. 2023 |
TRI
9 - 0
CAL
23%
25%
52%
|
36 | 24 | 12 | 0 |
| 31 Jul. 2023 |
ATA
4 - 0
CAL
13%
18%
69%
|
37 | 8 | 29 | -1 |
| 07 May. 2023 |
CAL
1 - 0
VAR
36%
27%
37%
|
36 | 37 | 1 | +1 |
| 30 Apr. 2023 |
SON
1 - 1
CAL
30%
26%
44%
|
36 | 28 | 8 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2023 |
CAL
2 - 2
SER
36%
27%
37%
|
36 | 36 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Caravaggio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 May. 2022 |
VIL
1 - 0
CAR
48%
25%
28%
|
28 | 30 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2022 |
CAS
2 - 3
CAR
70%
17%
13%
|
27 | 36 | 9 | +1 |
| 08 May. 2022 |
CAR
0 - 0
UNI
24%
23%
54%
|
27 | 35 | 8 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2022 |
USP
1 - 1
CAR
48%
25%
27%
|
27 | 32 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2022 |
CAR
2 - 1
CAL
17%
21%
62%
|
25 | 39 | 14 | +2 |