Farul Constanța vs FC Buzău analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.6%
Win probability
2
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5%
3-0
6.9%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.8%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
21%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
21%
17.4%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.5%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
4.3%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
-7%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
31
9º
16º
10º
19
7º
16º
16º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
16º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
46 | 53 |
1º
|
35% | |
|
2º
|
46 | 53 |
2º
|
26% | |
|
4º
|
45 | 52 |
3º
|
22% | |
|
3º
|
45 | 50 |
4º
|
24% | |
|
5º
|
45 | 49 |
5º
|
33.5% | |
|
6º
|
39 | 46 |
6º
|
36.5% | |
|
7º
|
37 | 41 |
7º
|
31.5% | |
|
8º
|
37 | 41 |
8º
|
31.5% | |
|
9º
|
32 | 39 |
9º
|
25.5% | |
|
|
10º
|
31 | 38 |
10º
|
26% | |
|
11º
|
30 | 37 |
11º
|
26.5% | |
|
12º
|
29 | 34 |
12º
|
31.5% | |
|
14º
|
24 | 31 |
13º
|
30.5% | |
|
15º
|
23 | 30 |
14º
|
26.5% | |
|
13º
|
25 | 29 |
15º
|
32% | |
|
|
16º
|
19 | 23 |
16º
|
91% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
0.5% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
99.5% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Farul Constanța
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Feb. 2025 |
SSG
1 - 0
SFC
43%
27%
31%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2025 |
SFC
2 - 1
PET
51%
25%
24%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2025 |
CLU
3 - 1
SFC
43%
27%
30%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2025 |
SFC
1 - 1
UTA
51%
25%
24%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | -1 |
| 11 Jan. 2025 |
SFC
2 - 1
CVA
59%
22%
19%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
FC Buzău
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Feb. 2025 |
GLO
0 - 2
BOT
34%
27%
39%
|
70 | 75 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2025 |
GAL
2 - 1
GLO
45%
27%
28%
|
70 | 76 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2025 |
GLO
3 - 0
UNI
40%
28%
32%
|
69 | 72 | 3 | +1 |
| 18 Jan. 2025 |
UCL
2 - 1
GLO
60%
22%
18%
|
69 | 78 | 9 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2025 |
GLO
4 - 3
MLA
30%
26%
44%
|
69 | 75 | 6 | 0 |