SS Manfredonia Calcio vs Paganese analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.5%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.2%
3-0
4%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.1%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.7%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.7%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.3%
29.2%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17.4%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.1%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-44%
-20%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SS Manfredonia Calcio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Dec. 2007 |
FOL
1 - 0
SSM
56%
25%
19%
|
48 | 55 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 2007 |
SSM
0 - 3
TER
49%
25%
26%
|
49 | 49 | 0 | -1 |
| 12 Dec. 2007 |
SSM
0 - 0
USC
32%
26%
42%
|
49 | 58 | 9 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 2007 |
VER
1 - 0
SSM
55%
25%
20%
|
49 | 55 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2007 |
SSM
0 - 2
SAS
21%
26%
53%
|
50 | 64 | 14 | -1 |
Matches
Paganese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Dec. 2007 |
PAG
1 - 0
LEC
45%
26%
28%
|
48 | 51 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 2007 |
SAS
1 - 0
PAG
77%
16%
7%
|
48 | 64 | 16 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 2007 |
PAG
0 - 0
PRO
39%
27%
34%
|
48 | 56 | 8 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 2007 |
CTT
3 - 3
PAG
72%
19%
9%
|
48 | 61 | 13 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2007 |
PAG
1 - 0
CAV
34%
28%
39%
|
47 | 59 | 12 | +1 |