Cavese 1919 vs Real Agro Aversa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.6%
Win probability
1.86
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.9%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.2%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.6%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.6%
21.9%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.7%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.8%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cavese 1919
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Oct. 2015 |
DTO
2 - 0
CAV
27%
25%
48%
|
44 | 38 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2015 |
CAV
3 - 0
GEL
72%
17%
11%
|
44 | 36 | 8 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2015 |
NOT
1 - 3
CAV
24%
25%
51%
|
43 | 35 | 8 | +1 |
| 27 Sep. 2015 |
CAV
2 - 0
REG
44%
24%
32%
|
41 | 45 | 4 | +2 |
| 20 Sep. 2015 |
AGR
0 - 0
CAV
40%
25%
35%
|
41 | 39 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Real Agro Aversa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Oct. 2015 |
RAA
1 - 2
LEO
58%
23%
18%
|
44 | 35 | 9 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2015 |
ROC
0 - 2
RAA
45%
25%
29%
|
43 | 40 | 3 | +1 |
| 04 Oct. 2015 |
RAA
0 - 0
SAR
52%
25%
24%
|
43 | 38 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2015 |
DTO
2 - 0
RAA
32%
28%
41%
|
45 | 39 | 6 | -2 |
| 16 Sep. 2015 |
RAA
2 - 0
GEL
58%
24%
18%
|
44 | 37 | 7 | +1 |