Cassino vs Pomezia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
68.5%
Win probability
2.27
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3%
4-0
4.7%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.9%
3-0
8.3%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.4%
2-0
10.9%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.4%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.2%
18.2%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.2%
13.2%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.1%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.1%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
47
3º
14º
7º
35
1º
18º
16º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
16º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
68 | 71 |
1º
|
77% | |
|
2º
|
68 | 68 |
2º
|
77% | |
|
3º
|
56 | 56 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
54 | 55 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
50 | 50 |
5º
|
21.5% | |
|
6º
|
47 | 48 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
|
7º
|
47 | 48 |
7º
|
47% | |
|
8º
|
43 | 44 |
8º
|
60.5% | |
|
9º
|
42 | 43 |
9º
|
34.5% | |
|
10º
|
40 | 41 |
10º
|
32.5% | |
|
11º
|
40 | 41 |
11º
|
25.5% | |
|
12º
|
40 | 40 |
12º
|
56.5% | |
|
14º
|
38 | 39 |
13º
|
36% | |
|
13º
|
38 | 38 |
14º
|
36% | |
|
15º
|
36 | 37 |
15º
|
29% | |
|
|
16º
|
35 | 36 |
16º
|
41% | |
|
17º
|
33 | 34 |
17º
|
49.5% | |
|
18º
|
32 | 33 |
18º
|
61.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
31.5% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
68.5% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 74% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 26% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cassino
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Dec. 2022 |
SSC
1 - 0
LRO
46%
25%
30%
|
33 | 32 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2022 |
RMS
2 - 0
SSC
37%
23%
40%
|
35 | 30 | 5 | -2 |
| 11 Dec. 2022 |
CSO
1 - 1
SSC
43%
22%
35%
|
35 | 31 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2022 |
SSC
2 - 0
SOR
32%
25%
44%
|
33 | 38 | 5 | +2 |
| 27 Nov. 2022 |
HYR
1 - 1
SSC
35%
24%
41%
|
33 | 28 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Pomezia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Dec. 2022 |
POM
0 - 3
PAG
15%
19%
66%
|
24 | 41 | 17 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2022 |
APR
2 - 0
POM
47%
23%
31%
|
25 | 26 | 1 | -1 |
| 04 Dec. 2022 |
POM
1 - 1
ASI
33%
22%
44%
|
25 | 30 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2022 |
POR
1 - 1
POM
65%
18%
17%
|
24 | 31 | 7 | +1 |
| 20 Nov. 2022 |
POM
2 - 1
PAL
45%
23%
31%
|
24 | 26 | 2 | 0 |