Barletta vs Paganese analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.4%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.4%
3-0
7.6%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.5%
2-0
12.8%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.4%
1-0
14.4%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.1%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
22.7%
14.9%
Win probability
0.73
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.7%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-29%
-15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Barletta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Nov. 2012 |
SOR
1 - 2
SSB
69%
20%
11%
|
50 | 61 | 11 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2012 |
SSB
0 - 1
ASA
38%
28%
34%
|
51 | 55 | 4 | -1 |
| 26 Oct. 2012 |
FRO
3 - 1
SSB
64%
21%
14%
|
52 | 58 | 6 | -1 |
| 14 Oct. 2012 |
ASG
0 - 0
SSB
54%
25%
21%
|
52 | 56 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2012 |
SSB
1 - 3
LAT
49%
27%
24%
|
53 | 50 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Paganese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Nov. 2012 |
BEN
2 - 0
PAG
79%
16%
5%
|
44 | 64 | 20 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2012 |
PAG
2 - 0
CAR
31%
28%
41%
|
42 | 46 | 4 | +2 |
| 28 Oct. 2012 |
NOC
1 - 4
PAG
79%
15%
6%
|
39 | 60 | 21 | +3 |
| 14 Oct. 2012 |
PAG
0 - 0
PIS
15%
25%
60%
|
39 | 62 | 23 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2012 |
ACP
2 - 1
PAG
65%
22%
14%
|
39 | 49 | 10 | 0 |