SpVgg Erlangen vs Quelle Furth analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
8.5%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.4%
2-0
1%
3-1
0.7%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
1.9%
1-0
2.4%
2-1
2.6%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
6.1%
14%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
6.5%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
14%
77.5%
Win probability
2.7
Expected goals
0-1
8.2%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.7%
0-2
11%
1-3
7.9%
2-4
2.1%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
21.4%
0-3
9.9%
1-4
5.4%
2-5
1.2%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
16.6%
0-4
6.7%
1-5
2.9%
2-6
0.5%
3-7
0.1%
-4
10.2%
0-5
3.6%
1-6
1.3%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
5.2%
0-6
1.6%
1-7
0.5%
2-8
0.1%
-6
2.2%
0-7
0.6%
1-8
0.2%
2-9
0%
-7
0.8%
0-8
0.2%
1-9
0.1%
-8
0.3%
0-9
0.1%
1-10
0%
-9
0.1%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SpVgg Erlangen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Aug. 2017 |
NEU
1 - 2
SVE
81%
12%
7%
|
14 | 23 | 9 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2017 |
SVE
2 - 2
FCL
19%
19%
62%
|
13 | 20 | 7 | +1 |
| 05 Aug. 2017 |
ATS
3 - 0
SVE
85%
10%
5%
|
13 | 26 | 13 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 2017 |
SVE
2 - 0
FRO
54%
21%
25%
|
13 | 12 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 2017 |
FSB
3 - 0
SVE
80%
12%
8%
|
13 | 20 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Quelle Furth
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Aug. 2017 |
SVM
0 - 2
QUF
12%
17%
71%
|
31 | 18 | 13 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 2017 |
QUF
4 - 1
TSV
89%
8%
3%
|
31 | 8 | 23 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 2017 |
MEM
3 - 4
QUF
25%
21%
54%
|
30 | 23 | 7 | +1 |
| 28 Jul. 2017 |
QUF
0 - 0
ASV
80%
13%
7%
|
30 | 17 | 13 | 0 |
| 23 Jul. 2017 |
TSB
0 - 0
QUF
36%
22%
42%
|
29 | 26 | 3 | +1 |