Sprockhövel vs SpVgg Erkenschwick analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67%
Win probability
2.57
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.4%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.5%
4-0
4.2%
5-1
2.6%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
7.5%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
5%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
13.4%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
3%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.2%
1-0
6%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
4.7%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.2%
17.2%
Draw
0-0
2.3%
1-1
7.1%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
17.2%
15.8%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
2.8%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
9.8%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
4.2%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-14%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
18º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
25
5º
18º
18º
64
2º
17º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
76 | 76 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
74 | 74 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
67 | 70 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
64 | 64 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
61 | 61 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
57 | 57 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
53 | 53 |
7º
|
79% | |
|
8º
|
51 | 51 |
8º
|
79% | |
|
9º
|
50 | 50 |
9º
|
79% | |
|
10º
|
44 | 44 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
44 | 44 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
37 | 37 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
34 | 34 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
32 | 32 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
31 | 31 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
29 | 29 |
16º
|
100% | |
|
17º
|
26 | 26 |
17º
|
100% | |
|
|
18º
|
25 | 25 |
18º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sprockhövel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Oct. 2023 |
WAT
1 - 4
SPR
41%
22%
37%
|
28 | 26 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2023 |
SPR
1 - 1
BGH
77%
14%
9%
|
29 | 21 | 8 | -1 |
| 17 Sep. 2023 |
ASC
3 - 0
SPR
45%
22%
33%
|
31 | 30 | 1 | -2 |
| 10 Sep. 2023 |
SPR
1 - 1
SVR
67%
17%
16%
|
31 | 26 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2023 |
SFB
1 - 2
SPR
45%
21%
34%
|
30 | 30 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
SpVgg Erkenschwick
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Oct. 2023 |
ERK
1 - 4
SPO
57%
21%
23%
|
25 | 24 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2023 |
TUS
0 - 3
ERK
74%
15%
12%
|
24 | 36 | 12 | +1 |
| 17 Sep. 2023 |
WAT
2 - 4
ERK
60%
20%
20%
|
23 | 27 | 4 | +1 |
| 10 Sep. 2023 |
ERK
4 - 2
BGH
56%
21%
23%
|
22 | 22 | 0 | +1 |
| 03 Sep. 2023 |
ASC
0 - 1
ERK
72%
16%
12%
|
21 | 29 | 8 | +1 |