Ostermiething vs Oedt analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
21.3%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
0.1%
+3
2.2%
2-0
2.2%
3-1
2.4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
5.9%
1-0
3.2%
2-1
5.3%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
12.3%
19%
Draw
0-0
2.3%
1-1
7.6%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
2.3%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
19%
59.7%
Win probability
2.4
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
5%
3-4
1.4%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
21.2%
0-2
6.5%
1-3
7.2%
2-4
3%
3-5
0.7%
4-6
0.1%
-2
17.5%
0-3
5.2%
1-4
4.3%
2-5
1.4%
3-6
0.3%
4-7
0%
-3
11.3%
0-4
3.1%
1-5
2.1%
2-6
0.6%
3-7
0.1%
-4
5.8%
0-5
1.5%
1-6
0.8%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
2.5%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0.1%
-6
0.9%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
+63%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
45
1º
8º
7º
67
1º
6º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
67 | 67 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
55 | 55 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
52 | 52 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
49 | 49 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
49 | 49 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
48 | 48 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
|
7º
|
45 | 45 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
45 | 45 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
44 | 44 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
44 | 44 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
41 | 41 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
36 | 36 |
12º
|
0% | |
|
13º
|
36 | 36 |
13º
|
0% | |
|
14º
|
33 | 33 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
24 | 24 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
10 | 10 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ostermiething
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Sep. 2023 |
WEL
1 - 4
OST
20%
19%
62%
|
24 | 14 | 10 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2023 |
OST
4 - 2
WEA
18%
18%
64%
|
21 | 35 | 14 | +3 |
| 26 Aug. 2023 |
PWD
3 - 1
OST
73%
15%
12%
|
21 | 30 | 9 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2023 |
OST
4 - 1
UNP
44%
22%
34%
|
19 | 22 | 3 | +2 |
| 12 Aug. 2023 |
ASV
0 - 4
OST
61%
19%
20%
|
18 | 23 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Oedt
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Sep. 2023 |
OED
5 - 0
STM
74%
15%
11%
|
37 | 27 | 10 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2023 |
SBL
2 - 0
OED
7%
12%
81%
|
39 | 13 | 26 | -2 |
| 26 Aug. 2023 |
OED
6 - 1
SVF
85%
10%
5%
|
38 | 19 | 19 | +1 |
| 18 Aug. 2023 |
BAD
3 - 0
OED
8%
14%
78%
|
41 | 16 | 25 | -3 |
| 11 Aug. 2023 |
OED
6 - 1
SPG
88%
9%
3%
|
42 | 19 | 23 | -1 |