Sportivo Luqueño vs Cerro Porteño analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
26.1%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2%
2-0
4.4%
3-1
2%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.8%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
6.1%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.8%
27.1%
Draw
0-0
9.4%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.1%
46.8%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
0-1
13.1%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
24.2%
0-2
9.2%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14.1%
0-3
4.3%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.9%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sportivo Luqueño
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 May. 2011 |
LQE
1 - 3
NAC
23%
26%
51%
|
61 | 78 | 17 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2011 |
AME
1 - 1
LQE
53%
24%
23%
|
61 | 61 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2011 |
LQE
1 - 1
GEN
55%
24%
22%
|
61 | 61 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2011 |
IND
1 - 1
LQE
55%
25%
21%
|
61 | 64 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2011 |
LQE
1 - 4
OLI
28%
28%
44%
|
62 | 76 | 14 | -1 |
Matches
Cerro Porteño
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 May. 2011 |
SAN
1 - 0
CCP
65%
21%
15%
|
78 | 85 | 7 | 0 |
| 25 May. 2011 |
CCP
1 - 1
SAN
71%
20%
9%
|
78 | 59 | 19 | 0 |
| 22 May. 2011 |
CCP
1 - 1
AME
70%
20%
10%
|
78 | 61 | 17 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2011 |
CCP
1 - 0
JAG
49%
26%
26%
|
78 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2011 |
CCP
0 - 0
GUA
49%
26%
25%
|
78 | 73 | 5 | 0 |