Sportivo Italiano vs Villa San Carlos analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.8%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.3%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.4%
26.8%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.8%
31.4%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
9.4%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
18.8%
0-2
5.3%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.7%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+79%
-31%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sportivo Italiano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Aug. 2018 |
ITA
4 - 1
CAÑ
27%
26%
48%
|
38 | 47 | 9 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2018 |
LAF
3 - 2
ITA
59%
22%
18%
|
39 | 45 | 6 | -1 |
| 12 May. 2018 |
ITA
2 - 1
SMA
28%
26%
46%
|
38 | 45 | 7 | +1 |
| 05 May. 2018 |
ITA
2 - 5
ARM
38%
29%
33%
|
39 | 45 | 6 | -1 |
| 02 May. 2018 |
JJU
1 - 0
ITA
64%
21%
15%
|
40 | 48 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
Villa San Carlos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Aug. 2018 |
VSC
2 - 1
SBA
62%
22%
17%
|
45 | 38 | 7 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2018 |
ALM
2 - 1
VSC
40%
28%
32%
|
46 | 44 | 2 | -1 |
| 23 Apr. 2018 |
VSC
1 - 0
ESP
45%
26%
30%
|
46 | 47 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2018 |
ATL
2 - 0
VSC
62%
24%
15%
|
46 | 54 | 8 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2018 |
VSC
0 - 2
COL
52%
24%
24%
|
48 | 46 | 2 | -2 |